NVDA Stock: Will Chipmaker Bounce Back Ahead of November 19 Earnings?

Summary

Nvidia (NVDA) stock has been under pressure lately due to a broader market selloff driven by macroeconomic uncertainty, particularly affecting high-flying artificial intelligence (AI) stocks. Despite recent declines, NVDA seems poised to challenge its 50-day moving average at $186. A break below this point could accelerate the selloff in the short term.

Market Sentiment and Technical Analysis

The decline in Nvidia stock has raised concerns among investors, leading some to wonder if they should buy before Q3 earnings on November 19th. Morgan Stanley recommends loading up on NVDA shares at a discount due to improved supply constraints and faster-than-expected Blackwell ramp results.

Improved Supply Constraints Contribute to Earnings Expectations

Morgan Stanley analyst Joseph Moore’s internal checks indicate that Nvidia’s supply issues have been addressed, leading him to expect "strongest results we’ve seen in the last few quarters." This optimism is further bolstered by robust demand for the upcoming Rubin platform, which he anticipates will unlock substantial long-term upside.

Earnings Projections and Price Target

The consensus projection of $1.17 earnings per share for Q3 would be a 50% year-over-year increase. Morgan Stanley’s revised price target reflects this optimism, with options contracts skewed to the upside due to an implied move of 6.55%. Analyst Moore believes "convex earnings leverage" could drive NVDA stock towards $220 by the end of next year.

Wall Street Consensus on Nvidia

Morgan Stanley remains among the conservative firms holding strong buy ratings on NVDA stock, backed by a consensus mean target of $234, indicating potential for another 27% rally. This endorsement underscores Wall Street’s confidence in Nvidia’s future prospects.

Market Reaction and Trading Opportunities

The current market situation presents intriguing trading opportunities, particularly with NVDA stock poised to challenge its moving average at $186. Investors who believe the AI bubble is about to burst can use options to bet against these stocks. Additionally, there are two ETFs gaining popularity for their potential returns.

For those looking to position themselves ahead of Q3 earnings, Morgan Stanley’s recommendation provides a compelling reason to load up on NVDA shares at current levels. This strategic approach aligns with the analyst’s outlook for significant upside in Nvidia stock over the coming quarters.

Trading Opportunities

The following trading opportunities make for interesting discussions:

  • Michael Burry’s warning about the AI bubble bursting presents an opportunity to short against these 2 stocks.
  • Two ETFs gaining attention due to their hidden strengths may provide a safe haven within turbulent markets.

For those looking to invest strategically in Nvidia, here are three unusual put options currently active in the market. These deep ITM offer potential for both bulls and bears wishing to make tactical bets on the stock’s performance.

Mid-Day Reversals

To stay updated on market movements and capitalize on mid-day reversals, consider subscribing to Barchart Brief, a complimentary newsletter service focused on keeping readers informed throughout each trading day.

×

Loading...