CoreWeave Set for Explosive Growth: $56B Revenue Backlog But 1 Big Warning Sign

Summary

CoreWeave, a crucial player in the artificial intelligence (AI) infrastructure build-out, boasts incredible growth due to its focus on providing clients access to top-tier AI computing hardware. While its 56 billion-dollar revenue backlog and projected nearly doubling of revenue over the next two years make it an attractive investment option, investors should be cautious about one pressing concern: CoreWeave’s lack of profitability. As the company continues to grow its client base and rental capacity, the risk of investors’ money being burned and the AI hyperscalers’ build-out remains a significant worry.

CoreWeave’s Growth is Compelling

CoreWeave’s growth rate is indeed remarkable, with $4.3 billion in revenue over the past 12 months, representing a staggering 133% year-over-year increase. This growth stems from its ability to provide superior AI computing hardware to clients such as Microsoft and Meta Platforms. These clients use CoreWeave’s platform to supplement their own data center footprint, driving demand for CoreWeave’s services.

The company has indeed become a critical player in the AI infrastructure build-out, with contracts signed with several major AI hyperscalers providing computing power over multi-year time frames. This is where CoreWeave’s monster growth projections originate. With such promising prospects, it’s no wonder investors are eager to get on board.

A Massive Revenue Backlog

One of the most compelling aspects of CoreWeave’s situation is its massive revenue backlog. With an astonishing $56 billion in remaining performance obligations, this gives investors a glimpse into what can be expected from the company over the coming years. While it’s essential to note that revenue backlog isn’t guaranteed – clients could potentially back away – it does provide a clear indication of CoreWeave’s potential.

Of that total revenue backlog, approximately 40% ($22 billion) is anticipated to be recognized within the next two years. This projection suggests that CoreWeave will nearly double its revenue over this time period, which is certainly an attractive prospect for investors. However, about 39% of that total, or around $21.9 billion, will come due in 25-48 months, and 21% within a year after that.

While the company’s growth projections appear promising, one should carefully monitor the metric indicating client behavior within the 24 to 48-month window, as this may indicate what clients are looking for in their infrastructure setup. CoreWeave certainly will have a significant backlog of revenue that it needs to earn within the next couple years – so, the clock is ticking.

A Concerning Red Flag: Profitability

One pressing concern about CoreWeave lies in its inability to generate positive cash flows right now. In Q3 alone, the company reported an outflow of $8 billion for free cash flow. This figure indicates that losses are indeed widening and are likely a reason investors should avoid investing in the stock.

In the real-world business context, GPUs (Graphics Processing Units) – which serve as essential hardware components for artificial intelligence – typically have a lifespan measuring just several years. Consequently, companies in this segment face severe pressure to secure positive cash flows immediately or risk funding losses indefinitely.

There is an immense risk that these AI-centric businesses like CoreWeave are not yet profitable. Investors would need a significant cushion against the possibility of losing some of the billions invested in such ventures while clients only temporarily occupy them.

Should You Invest in CoreWeave?

On one hand, investors can argue for buying shares now, given the strong potential and future growth prospects offered by CoreWeave’s platform. On the other hand, it seems much more logical to consider alternative investment options until profitability is achieved.

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